Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 56.08%. A win for Southport had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Southport
56.08% ( -0.03)	21.36% ( 0)	22.56% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 61.15% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.95% (

0.03)

37.05% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.76% (

0.03)

59.24% (

-0.03)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83%

13.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13%

39.87% (

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43% (

0.05)

29.57% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4% (

0.05)

65.6% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 56.08%

Southport 22.56%

Draw 21.36%

Oxford City	Draw	Southport
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 56.08%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.36%	1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 22.56%