National League North | Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC
0 - 2
Curzon Ashton


Mattock (29'), Doyle (45'), Whelan (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mols (49' pen.), Worrall (79')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 4-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Marine AFCDrawCurzon Ashton
35.26% (2.87 2.87)28.02% (0.459 0.46)36.72% (-3.329 -3.33)
Both teams to score 47.71% (-0.899 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65% (-1.34 -1.34)58.35% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (-1.06 -1.06)78.96% (1.061 1.06)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (1.235 1.24)31.38% (-1.234 -1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (1.407 1.41)67.75% (-1.406 -1.41)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-2.611 -2.61)30.46% (2.611 2.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (-3.219 -3.22)66.68% (3.219 3.22)
Score Analysis
    Marine AFC 35.26%
    Curzon Ashton 36.71%
    Draw 28.02%
Marine AFCDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.91 0.91)
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.343 0.34)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.719 0.72)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.227 0.23)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.351 0.35)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.476 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.488 -0.49)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.668 -0.67)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.442 -0.44)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.486 -0.49)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 36.71%