National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
4 - 0
Marine AFC

Bartley (1'), Cowley (16'), Williams (79'), Derricott (90+5')
Howkins (53'), Matwasa (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Doyle (12'), Sinclair-Smith (26')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Marine AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Marine AFC 3-0 Chorley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawMarine AFC
50.2% (0.021999999999998 0.02)24.38% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)25.42% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (0.037000000000006 0.04)47.78% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (0.035999999999998 0.04)69.97% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (0.022999999999996 0.02)19.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)50.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.013000000000005 0.01)33.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.012999999999998 0.01)69.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 50.19%
    Marine AFC 25.42%
    Draw 24.38%
Hereford UnitedDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 50.19%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 25.42%