National League North Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Marine Travel Arena
  • Owen Robinson 23' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 41' goal
  • Harvey Gregson 50' yellowcard
  • Enock Lusiama 56' goal
  • Finlay Sinclair-Smith 62' goal
  • James Butler 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey Smith 81'
  • yellowcard Jack Moore 85'

Marine AFC vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Marine AFC 0 - 1 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Finlay Sinclair-Smith

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
Chorley 2 - 1 King's Lynn
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Mark Ellis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.

Result

Marine AFC 37.63% (+0.02)
Draw 26.85% (-0.01)
Chorley 35.51% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.36% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.2% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.79% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.73% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 75.27% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 11.19% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.81% (-0.01)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5 72.3% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.7% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.74% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.25% (-0.02)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 71.03% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.96% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.14% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.85% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Marine AFC 37.63%
Draw 26.85%
Chorley 35.51%
Marine AFC
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.61% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 37.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.85%
Chorley
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.51%