Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 0
Darlington

Horbury (8'), Touray (27' pen., 61')
Calveley (64'), Smith (75'), Ellis (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Griffiths (26'), Forbes (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Chorley
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League North

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-1 Darlington
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawDarlington
49.65% (-1.862 -1.86)25.63% (0.636 0.64)24.72% (1.226 1.23)
Both teams to score 49.66% (-0.616 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (-1.44 -1.44)53.42% (1.44 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (-1.234 -1.23)74.95% (1.232 1.23)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-1.366 -1.37)21.54% (1.365 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.39% (-2.137 -2.14)54.61% (2.136 2.14)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29% (0.311 0.31)36.7% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51% (0.309 0.31)73.49% (-0.31 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 49.64%
    Darlington 24.72%
    Draw 25.63%
ChorleyDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 12.13% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.213 -0.21)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 49.64%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.438 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.502 0.5)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 24.72%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Darlington
0-3
Chorley
Sampson (45+6' pen.), Ellis (48'), Calveley (54')
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Chorley
8-0
Darlington
Ellis (4'), Henley (23'), Shenton (27'), Johnson (53'), Whitehouse (66', 74', 90+3' pen.), Moyo (83')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Darlington
0-3
Chorley
Hall (58', 78'), Sampson (83')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Chorley
1-1
Darlington
C (60')
Beck (85')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Darlington
3-0
Chorley
O'Neill (27'), Rivers (54'), Hatfield (58')