National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field
Chorley

Spennymoor
1 - 2
Chorley

Dolan (61')
Staunton (15')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ledger (23' og.), Calveley (85')
Touray (90+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Spennymoor
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Darlington
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
38.64% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)26.34% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)35.03% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (0.051000000000002 0.05)51.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.045000000000002 0.05)73.49% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)26.16% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)61.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.073999999999998 0.07)28.26% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.093000000000004 0.09)63.97% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 38.64%
    Chorley 35.03%
    Draw 26.33%
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.64%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.9% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.03%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Spennymoor
1-0
Chorley
Fletcher (65')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Chorley
2-1
Spennymoor
Ubaezuonu (51'), Calveley (69')
Ndjoli (11')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Spennymoor
0-2
Chorley
Calveley (16'), Ubaezuonu (56')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Spennymoor
2-1
Chorley
Taylor (7'), Blackett (29')
Ustabasi (2')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Chorley
2-0
Spennymoor
Shenton (4'), Ustabasi (62')