Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Hereford United
43.83% ( -0)	27.73% ( -0)	28.43% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.1% (

0.01)

58.9% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

0.01)

79.39% (

-0.01)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

26.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

61.96% (

-0.01)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.43% (

0.01)

36.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.64% (

0.01)

73.35% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 43.83%

Hereford United 28.43%

Draw 27.73%

Chester FC	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.83%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.43%