Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.