National League North | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
0 - 2
Oxford City


Babos (39'), Ceesay (56'), Campbell (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ashby (88'), Parker (90+3')
Carbon (37'), Jones (71')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 3-0 Hereford
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League North

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Southport
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawOxford City
58.15% (-3.908 -3.91)22.03% (1.006 1.01)19.81% (2.901 2.9)
Both teams to score 54.54% (2.151 2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (0.159 0.16)43.82% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.79% (0.157 0.16)66.2% (-0.158 -0.16)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-1.161 -1.16)14.77% (1.16 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-2.269 -2.27)43.03% (2.268 2.27)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (3.348 3.35)36% (-3.348 -3.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (3.268 3.27)72.78% (-3.269 -3.27)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 58.15%
    Oxford City 19.81%
    Draw 22.03%
Hereford UnitedDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.926 -0.93)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-0 @ 6.2% (-0.882 -0.88)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.155 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.265 -0.27)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.567 -0.57)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.275 -0.28)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 58.15%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.428 0.43)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.442 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.03%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.438 0.44)
1-2 @ 5.31% (0.662 0.66)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.446 0.45)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.363 0.36)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.289 0.29)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.81%