National League North
Gameweek
23
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-
Kieran Burton
18'
-
Tom Elliott
28'
-
Ben Sault
45'
-
True Grant
70'
-
Lewis Salmon
10'
-
Max Hunt
35'
-
Adam Lund
40'
-
Cosmos Matwasa
79'
Buxton vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
Result
Buxton
36.57%
▼
(-0.29)
Draw
28.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Alfreton Town
34.94%
▲
(+0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
46.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
60.07%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
19.71%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
80.29%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
8.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
91.83%
▼
(-0.01)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5
68.58%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
31.42%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
32.2%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
67.8%
▲
(+0.21)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
67.53%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
32.47%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
31%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
69%
▼
(-0.23)
Score analysis
Buxton
36.57%
Draw
28.49%
Alfreton Town
34.93%
Buxton
1-0
@
11.81%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.57%
2-1 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.57%
Draw
1-1
@
13.28%
0-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.49%
0-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.49%
Alfreton Town
0-1
@
11.47%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.93%
1-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.93%