Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.