Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Warrington Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
21.85% ( -0.08)	23.44% ( -0.02)	54.7% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 53.05% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.69% (

-0.02)

47.31% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.47% (

-0.01)

69.53% (

0.01)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05% (

-0.09)

35.95% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.27% (

-0.09)

72.73% (

0.09)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.82% (

0.03)

17.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.57% (

0.05)

47.43% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Warrington Town 21.85%

Alfreton Town 54.7%

Draw 23.43%

Warrington Town	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.85%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.43%	0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.7%