National League North Gameweek 11
Nov 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Court Place Farm
  • Josh Parker 10' goal
  • Alfie Potter 22' yellowcard
  • Jayden Carbon 43' yellowcard
  • Reece Fleet 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Anson 36'
  • yellowcard Josh Clackstone 60'
  • goal Adam Anson 65'
  • goal Jake Day 66'
  • yellowcard Adam Lund 88'

Oxford City vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
Oxford City 1 - 1 Scarborough Ath
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Zac McEachran

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
Warrington Town 0 - 1 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lewis Salmon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Oxford City 44.52% (+6.11)
Draw 24.78% (-0.56)
Alfreton Town 30.71% (-5.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.81% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.85% (+1.05)
Under 2.5 46.15% (-1.05)
Over 3.5 31.55% (+0.98)
Under 3.5 68.45% (-0.98)
Over 4.5 15.76% (+0.69)
Under 4.5 84.24% (-0.69)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 79.2% (+3.42)
Under 0.5 20.8% (-3.42)
Over 1.5 46.54% (+5.10)
Under 1.5 53.45% (-5.10)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.72% (-2.90)
Under 0.5 28.28% (+2.90)
Over 1.5 36.01% (-3.81)
Under 1.5 63.99% (+3.81)

Score analysis

Oxford City 44.52%
Draw 24.77%
Alfreton Town 30.71%
Oxford City
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.52)
2-1 @ 9.16% (+0.69)
2-0 @ 7.25% (+1.07)
3-1 @ 4.79% (+0.79)
3-0 @ 3.8% (+0.88)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.28)
4-1 @ 1.88% (+0.47)
4-0 @ 1.49% (+0.46)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-96.22)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.29)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.77%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 7.43% (-1.00)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.83)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-1.09)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.65)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.67)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 30.71%