Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 4
South Shields

Salmon (32'), Abbey (90+6')
Cantrill (34'), Willis (36'), Anson (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Blackett (37', 56'), Shepherd (85', 90+4')
Hughes (71')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and South Shields.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in National League North

South Shields

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 5-1 South Shields
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a South Shields win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawSouth Shields
59.88% (-0.143 -0.14)23.13% (0.030999999999999 0.03)16.99% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 46.11% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (0.052999999999997 0.05)52.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (0.045999999999999 0.05)74.15% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)17.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.055 -0.05)47.45% (0.055 0.05)
South Shields Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.69% (0.176 0.18)44.31% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.62% (0.142 0.14)80.38% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 59.87%
    South Shields 16.99%
    Draw 23.12%
Alfreton TownDrawSouth Shields
1-0 @ 13.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.8% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 59.87%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 16.99%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Alfreton
1-0
South Shields
Thewlis (7')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
South Shields
3-1
Alfreton
Martin (54'), Abbey (64', 90+3')
Brisley (63')
Wiley (90+1')