National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 1
Oxford City

Sault (9'), Viggars (74')
Kirby (83'), Viggars (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carbon (32')
McEachran (45'), Burley (90+10')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 0-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawOxford City
46.76% (1.031 1.03)24.56% (-0.135 -0.14)28.68% (-0.898 -0.9)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (0.087999999999994 0.09)46.26% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (0.082000000000001 0.08)68.55% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (0.474 0.47)19.87% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (0.766 0.77)51.98% (-0.767 -0.77)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)29.74% (0.588 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (-0.721 -0.72)65.8% (0.717 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 46.76%
    Oxford City 28.68%
    Draw 24.55%
BuxtonDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.197 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.121 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.091 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.76%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 28.68%