National League North | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 0
Scarborough Ath

Kirby (45' pen., 73')
Kirby (4'), Sault (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bennett (34'), Glynn (45'), Mulhern (90')
Brown (18')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Kidderminster 2-2 Buxton
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League North

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawScarborough Athletic
46.08% (6.255 6.26)24.81% (-1.002 -1)29.11% (-5.253 -5.25)
Both teams to score 55.77% (1.146 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91% (2.472 2.47)47.09% (-2.47 -2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (2.26 2.26)69.33% (-2.258 -2.26)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (4.036 4.04)20.49% (-4.034 -4.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (6.023 6.02)52.98% (-6.021 -6.02)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-2.231 -2.23)29.85% (2.233 2.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-2.785 -2.79)65.94% (2.785 2.79)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 46.08%
    Scarborough Athletic 29.11%
    Draw 24.8%
BuxtonDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.176 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.684 0.68)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.996 1)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.877 0.88)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.926 0.93)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.373 0.37)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.528 0.53)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.508 0.51)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.52 -0.52)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.657 -0.66)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-1.321 -1.32)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.795 -0.8)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-1.138 -1.14)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.524 -0.52)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.603 -0.6)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Buxton
0-0
Scarborough Ath
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Scarborough Ath
1-0
Buxton
Green (85')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Scarborough Ath
0-1
Buxton
Boden (89')
Nov 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Buxton
0-1
Scarborough Ath
Colville (37')