Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Needham Market
46.82% ( 0.01)	25.16% ( -0)	28.01% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.76% (

49.23% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.7% (

71.29% (

-0)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

21.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

0.01)

53.85% (

-0.01)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

-0)

31.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

-0)

68.19% (

Score Analysis

Buxton 46.81%

Needham Market 28.01%

Draw 25.15%

Buxton	Draw	Needham Market
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.81%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.01%