Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Needham Market	Draw	Brackley Town
26.19% ( -2.54)	25.35% ( -1.25)	48.45% ( 3.78)

Both teams to score 51.83% (

1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.76% (

3.39)

51.24% (

-3.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92% (

2.89)

73.07% (

-2.89)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74% (

-0.22)

34.26% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

-0.23)

70.96% (

0.23)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84% (

3.18)

21.16% (

-3.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

4.71)

54.02% (

-4.71)

Score Analysis

Needham Market 26.19%

Brackley Town 48.44%

Draw 25.35%

Needham Market	Draw	Brackley Town
1-0 @ 7.77% ( -1.16) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.65) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.19%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.55) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -1.04) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.65) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.63) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.4) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.38) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.47% Total : 48.44%