National League North | Gameweek 9
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Neuven Stadium (Radcliffe, Greater Manchester)

Radcliffe
0 - 2
Buxton


Roscoe (39'), Adams (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kirby (83'), De Girolamo (90+8')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Radcliffe and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Radcliffe

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Radcliffe 1-3 Oxford City
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Buxton 7-1 Needham Market
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
RadcliffeDrawBuxton
37.93% (-2.877 -2.88)23.09% (-0.319 -0.32)38.98% (3.195 3.2)
Both teams to score 65% (1.469 1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.7% (1.818 1.82)36.29% (-1.82 -1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.58% (1.964 1.96)58.42% (-1.965 -1.97)
Radcliffe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (-0.52300000000001 -0.52)19.62% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.43% (-0.858 -0.86)51.56% (0.857 0.86)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (2.338 2.34)19.13% (-2.339 -2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (3.732 3.73)50.78% (-3.733 -3.73)
Score Analysis
    Radcliffe 37.93%
    Buxton 38.98%
    Draw 23.08%
RadcliffeDrawBuxton
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.413 -0.41)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.676 -0.68)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.642 -0.64)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.399 -0.4)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.157 0.16)
0-0 @ 3.75% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.326 0.33)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.281 0.28)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.489 0.49)
2-3 @ 3.75% (0.343 0.34)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.341 0.34)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.321 0.32)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.24 0.24)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.213 0.21)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 38.98%