FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Neuven Stadium (Radcliffe, Greater Manchester)
Bury

Radcliffe
2 - 3
Bury

Dudley (7'), Wardle (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coughlan (56'), Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (82'), Ly (90' pen.)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Radcliffe and Bury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Radcliffe
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-3 Bury
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Bury had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Bury win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
RadcliffeDrawBury
66.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)17.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)16.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.26% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.88% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.12% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.11% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)48.89% (0.07 0.07)
Radcliffe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)8% (0.0111 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)28.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Bury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.15% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.3% (0.077000000000012 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Radcliffe 66.2%
    Bury 16.3%
    Draw 17.5%
RadcliffeDrawBury
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.48% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 66.2%
1-1 @ 7.3% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 17.5%
1-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 16.3%