Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for Bury had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Bury win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.