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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Croft Park
Bury

Blyth Spartans
0 - 3
Bury

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gomes (69'), Pye (84')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Blyth Spartans and Bury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blyth Spartans

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 3-1 Campion
Wednesday, September 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Bury

All competitions
Last Game: Garforth Town 0-2 Bury
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for Bury had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Bury win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Blyth SpartansDrawBury
54.19% (-0.144 -0.14)20.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.29% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 67.86% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.21% (0.10299999999999 0.1)29.78% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.06% (0.126 0.13)50.93% (-0.129 -0.13)
Blyth Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)11.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Bury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.14700000000001 0.15)23.47% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.215 0.22)57.49% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Blyth Spartans 54.19%
    Bury 25.29%
    Draw 20.51%
Blyth SpartansDrawBury
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.81% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.62% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 54.19%
1-1 @ 8.39% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.32% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.29%