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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cheshire Silk 106.9 Stadium
Bury

Congleton Town FC
2 - 4
Bury

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Congleton Town FC and Bury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congleton Town FC

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bury

All competitions
Last Game: Bury 0-3 Preston
Sunday, July 9 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congleton Town FC win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bury had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congleton Town FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Bury win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Congleton Town FCDrawBury
65.83% (-0.63600000000001 -0.64)18.03% (0.252 0.25)16.14% (0.385 0.39)
Both teams to score 61.68% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.85% (-0.462 -0.46)31.14% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.44% (-0.55 -0.55)52.56% (0.55 0.55)
Congleton Town FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12% (-0.262 -0.26)8.88% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.62% (-0.642 -0.64)30.38% (0.643 0.64)
Bury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.142 0.14)32.3% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (0.162 0.16)68.81% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Congleton Town FC 65.83%
    Bury 16.14%
    Draw 18.03%
Congleton Town FCDrawBury
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.67% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.64% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.11% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 65.83%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 18.03%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.025 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 16.14%