National League North | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
2 - 2
Buxton

Kouhyar (36'), Hemmings (68' pen.)
Brown (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kirby (64'), De Girolamo (82')
Mann (62'), De Girolamo (67')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Radcliffe 0-2 Buxton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawBuxton
60.61% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)23.18% (0.015999999999998 0.02)16.2% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 44.43% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (0.031999999999996 0.03)53.89% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (0.027000000000001 0.03)75.35% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)17.44% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)47.89% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.81% (0.095999999999997 0.1)46.18% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13% (0.075000000000003 0.08)81.86% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 60.6%
    Buxton 16.2%
    Draw 23.18%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 14.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 60.6%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.2% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 16.2%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Third Round Qualifying Replays
Kidderminster
2-0
Buxton
Lambert (29'), Morgan-Smith (47')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Buxton
1-1
Kidderminster
Burton (66')
Ibbitson (69')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Kidderminster
1-0
Buxton
Hemmings (1')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Buxton
1-1
Kidderminster
Kirby (46')
Ceesay (68')