Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.