National League North | Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
0 - 2
Brackley Town


Williams (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hall (70'), Lowe (75')
Roberts (35')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-3 Buxton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North

Brackley Town

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Darlington
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawBrackley Town
34.82% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)26.56% (-0.012 -0.01)38.62% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (0.052 0.05)52.67% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (0.042000000000002 0.04)74.31% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (0.054000000000002 0.05)26.61% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (0.067999999999998 0.07)61.83% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 34.82%
    Brackley Town 38.62%
    Draw 26.56%
BuxtonDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.82%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.62%

How you voted: Buxton vs Brackley Town

Buxton
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Brackley Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Buxton
0-0
Brackley Town
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Brackley Town
2-1
Buxton
Calder (30'), Newton (90+4')
Shiels (82')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Buxton
3-1
Brackley Town
Ackroyd (5'), De Girolamo (31'), Kirby (43')
Walker (45')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Brackley Town
2-0
Buxton
Stead (23', 85')