National League North | Gameweek 17

Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Brackley Town
2 - 1
Darlington

Newton (27'), Lilley (87')
Hall (50'), Newton (52'), Lyttle (83'), Roberts (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Main (63' pen.)
Leesley (58'), Barrow (83'), Maskell (90+2')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Warrington Town
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Darlington

All competitions

Last Game: Darlington 1-0 Chester
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Darlington
52.57% ( -0.02)	25.55% ( -0.02)	21.88% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.42% (

0.09)

55.58% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.25% (

0.07)

76.74% (

-0.07)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.82% (

0.03)

21.18% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.95% (

0.04)

54.05% (

-0.04)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.4% (

0.09)

40.6% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.8% (

0.08)

77.2% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 52.56%

Darlington 21.88%

Draw 25.55%

Brackley Town	Draw	Darlington
1-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.56%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.88%