Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Radcliffe
37.01% ( -0.01)	27.51% ( 0.07)	35.49% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62% (

-0.27)

56.38% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61% (

-0.21)

77.4% (

0.22)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0.13)

29.32% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71% (

-0.17)

65.29% (

0.17)

Radcliffe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

-0.17)

30.25% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

-0.2)

66.42% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 37.01%

Radcliffe 35.49%

Draw 27.5%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Radcliffe
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.01%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.49%