Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Marine AFC
47.36% ( 3.99)	26.43% ( -0.93)	26.21% ( -3.06)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.63% (

1.85)

55.37% (

-1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42% (

1.5)

76.57% (

-1.5)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

2.78)

23.38% (

-2.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

3.88)

57.36% (

-3.88)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52% (

-1.47)

36.47% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.74% (

-1.51)

73.26% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 47.35%

Marine AFC 26.21%

Draw 26.43%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Marine AFC
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.77) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.54) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.68) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.35) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.35%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.63) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( -1.01) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.71) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.31) Other @ 1.85% Total : 26.21%