National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC
2 - 0
Needham Market

Brown (25'), Sinclair-Smith (81')
Atcheson (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Needham Market.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Marine AFC 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League North

Needham Market

All competitions
Last Game: Needham Market 0-1 Chester
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.

Result
Marine AFCDrawNeedham Market
55.29% (-0.152 -0.15)23.78% (0.065999999999999 0.07)20.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.158 -0.16)49.8% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.141 -0.14)71.8% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.113 -0.11)17.87% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (-0.198 -0.2)48.65% (0.199 0.2)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Marine AFC 55.29%
    Needham Market 20.92%
    Draw 23.78%
Marine AFCDrawNeedham Market
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.29%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.92%