National League North | Gameweek 15

Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Cantilever Park

Warrington Town
0 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Dixon (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Matthews (27')
Sinclair (32'), Mahon (61'), Buckley-Ricketts (66'), Richards (86')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Warrington Town and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Warrington Town

All competitions

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Chorley 0-3 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 12.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.49%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 1-0 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.

Result
Warrington Town	Draw	Curzon Ashton
12.33% ( 0.27)	20.41% ( 0.28)	67.26% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 43.06% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54% (

-0.49)

50.45% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61% (

-0.44)

72.38% (

0.44)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.12% (

0.17)

49.88% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.42% (

0.12)

84.57% (

-0.11)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.91% (

-0.32)

14.08% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.31% (

-0.64)

41.69% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Warrington Town 12.33%

Curzon Ashton 67.25%

Draw 20.41%

Warrington Town	Draw	Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.33%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.41%	0-1 @ 13.77% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 13.49% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.82% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 67.25%