Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
0 - 3
Curzon Ashton


Powell (80'), Clarke (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mols (50'), Spencer (64'), Sinclair (71')
Richards (2'), Griffiths (47'), Spencer (58'), Mahon (75'), Hayhurst (88'), Sobowale (90+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 26 at 8.15pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawCurzon Ashton
33.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)26.19% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)39.92% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.25% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)51.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (-0.041 -0.04)73.1% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.75% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)64.58% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 33.88%
    Curzon Ashton 39.92%
    Draw 26.19%
ChorleyDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 39.92%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 7.45pm
Chorley
0-0
Curzon Ashton
(Aggregate 0-0 | Chorley win 4-2 on penalties)
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Chorley
4-0
Curzon Ashton
Richards (6' og.), Rus (34'), Johnson (52'), Hazlehurst (86')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Curzon Ashton
0-1
Chorley
Johnson (45')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Curzon Ashton
2-1
Chorley
Peers (8'), Campbell (44')
Sampson (89')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Chorley
3-0
Curzon Ashton
Hall (38'), Calveley (62'), Shenton (66')