National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley0 - 3Curzon Ashton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Curzon Ashton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Chorley
Tuesday, November 26 at 8.15pm in National League North
Tuesday, November 26 at 8.15pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
33.88% ( -0.05) | 26.19% ( 0.01) | 39.92% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.25% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.72% ( -0.05) | 51.27% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% ( -0.04) | 73.1% ( 0.04) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% ( -0.05) | 28.75% ( 0.05) |