Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Chorley
43.42% ( -0.09)	28.29% ( -0.02)	28.29% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 44.92% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.14% (

0.09)

60.85% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.11% (

0.07)

80.88% (

-0.07)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.01)

27.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

-0.01)

63.43% (

0.01)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.24% (

0.13)

37.76% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.46% (

0.13)

74.53% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 43.42%

Chorley 28.28%

Draw 28.28%

Chester FC	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.37% 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 28.28%