National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Alfreton Town

Curzon Ashton
0 - 0
Alfreton

FT
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 3-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
47.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)27.3% (0.094000000000001 0.09)25.04% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 45.3% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (-0.396 -0.4)59.23% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (-0.307 -0.31)79.65% (0.304 0.3)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (-0.17200000000001 -0.17)24.94% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (-0.239 -0.24)59.57% (0.235 0.23)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)39.65% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67% (-0.3 -0.3)76.33% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 47.66%
    Alfreton Town 25.04%
    Draw 27.3%
Curzon AshtonDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 13.73% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 47.66%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.89% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.04%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
0-1
Curzon Ashton

Perritt (84'), Matthews (86')
Mols (45+1' pen.)
(87')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Curzon Ashton
2-1
Alfreton
Kenyon (10'), Barton (45+2')
Poscha (19')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Curzon Ashton
0-1
Alfreton
Rhead (61' pen.)
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Alfreton
1-2
Curzon Ashton
Thewlis (2')
Peers (31'), Spencer (78')