National League North | Gameweek 40

Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
3 - 1
Curzon Ashton

White (57'), Campbell (67'), Ceesay (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Afuye (82')
Mahon (90+5')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Radcliffe
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.50pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Curzon Ashton
35.94% ( -0.02)	26.97% ( 0.02)	37.09% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.01% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.76% (

-0.1)

54.24% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.36% (

-0.09)

75.64% (

0.08)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08% (

-0.06)

28.92% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.2% (

-0.08)

64.8% (

0.07)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.06)

28.22% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07% (

-0.07)

63.93% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 35.93%

Curzon Ashton 37.09%

Draw 26.97%

Hereford United	Draw	Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.93%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.09%