Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.