National League North | Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 1
Buxton

Campbell (45+2'), Babos (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coleman (75')
Coleman (79')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawBuxton
44.76% (2.19 2.19)26.15% (-0.185 -0.18)29.09% (-2 -2)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.424 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)52.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-0.067 -0.07)74.32% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (1.041 1.04)23.44% (-1.036 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (1.484 1.48)57.45% (-1.479 -1.48)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-1.486 -1.49)32.75% (1.492 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-1.694 -1.69)69.3% (1.7 1.7)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 44.76%
    Buxton 29.09%
    Draw 26.14%
Hereford UnitedDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.205 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.499 0.5)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.226 0.23)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.351 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.76%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.57% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.09%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Buxton
1-2
Hereford
Kirby (26')
Fitzhugh (21'), Kirby (41'), Sault (44')
Rose (18'), Williams (90+3')
Rooney (21'), Robinson (27')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Hereford
2-2
Buxton
Williams (76', 90+3')
De Girolamo (45+2'), Howkins (70' og.)
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Buxton
2-1
Hereford
Burrow (40'), Hull (80')
Cowley (60')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Buxton
0-1
Hereford
Thompson-Sommers (55' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hereford
2-0
Buxton
Haines (67'), Pinchard (85')