National League North | Gameweek 34

Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 0
Alfreton

Ceesay (59'), Campbell (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 3-2 Warrington Town
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Spennymoor 3-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Alfreton Town
42.05% ( 0.01)	28.09% ( 0.02)	29.86% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.22% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.41% (

-0.06)

59.59% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

-0.05)

79.93% (

0.05)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

-0.03)

27.97% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39% (

-0.03)

63.61% (

0.03)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17% (

-0.05)

35.83% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

-0.06)

72.6% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 42.04%

Alfreton Town 29.85%

Draw 28.08%

Hereford United	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.04%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.85%