National League North | Gameweek 26
Feb 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Brewery Field
Alfreton Town

Spennymoor
3 - 1
Alfreton

McKeown (25'), Ross (30'), Taylor (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Salmon (66')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 Kidderminster
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawAlfreton Town
40.22% (-0.623 -0.62)27.85% (0.275 0.27)31.92% (0.34 0.34)
Both teams to score 47.63% (-0.702 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.937 -0.94)58.18% (0.931 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.742 -0.74)78.83% (0.735 0.73)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.795 -0.8)28.32% (0.788 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-1.01 -1.01)64.04% (1.004 1)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.244 -0.24)33.55% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.267 -0.27)70.19% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 40.21%
    Alfreton Town 31.92%
    Draw 27.85%
Spennymoor TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 40.21%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.92%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Alfreton
0-1
Spennymoor

Lund (67')
Riley (65' og.)
Fletcher (74'), Staunton (90+2')
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round Qualifying
Alfreton
1-0
Spennymoor
Waldock (74')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Alfreton
2-1
Spennymoor
Oliver (12'), Day (38')
Taylor (76')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Spennymoor
2-1
Alfreton
Harris (42'), Greenfield (60')
Riley (8')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Alfreton
3-2
Spennymoor
Riley (2'), Rhead (13'), Smith (28')
Blackett (23', 69')