Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.