National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
Alfreton Town

Chester
2 - 0
Alfreton

Burke (70'), Peers (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Leamington 1-4 Chester
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Alfreton 3-4 Brackley Town
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
44.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)29.74% (0.038 0.04)25.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 39.67% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.47% (-0.122 -0.12)66.53% (0.12299999999999 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.06% (-0.081 -0.08)84.94% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)29.87% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)65.97% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.56% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)43.44% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.34% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)79.66% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 44.78%
    Alfreton Town 25.48%
    Draw 29.73%
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 15.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.47% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 44.78%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 12.97% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 29.73%
0-1 @ 10.82% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.48%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Alfreton
2-2
Chester
Abbey (43'), Moyo (55')
Waldock (57'), Hunt (85')
Willoughby (36'), Caton (72')
Woodthorpe (25'), Weeks (85'), Roberts (90+4')
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Chester
0-2
Alfreton
Digie (36', 66')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Alfreton
1-1
Chester
Edwards (23' og.)
Weeks (12')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Chester
1-1
Alfreton
Dudley (90+4')
Southwell (39')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Alfreton
2-2
Chester
Denton (28', 90+2')
Willoughby (16'), Lynch (23')