National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Harrison Burke 70' goal
  • Tom Peers 81' goal

Chester FC vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
Leamington 1 - 4 Chester
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Tom Peers

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
Alfreton 3 - 4 Brackley Town
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lewis Salmon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result

Chester FC 44.79% (+0.01)
Draw 29.74% (+0.04)
Alfreton Town 25.48% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.67% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.47% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 66.53% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 15.06% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 84.94% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 5.65% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 94.35% (+0.05)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 70.13% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 29.87% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 34.03% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.97% (+0.08)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 56.56% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 43.44% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 20.34% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 79.66% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Chester FC 44.78%
Draw 29.73%
Alfreton Town 25.48%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 15.67% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.47% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 44.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 12.97% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 29.73%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 10.82% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 25.48%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jed Abbey 43' goal
  • David Moyo 55' goal
  • Liam Waldock 57' yellowcard
  • Max Hunt 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Woodthorpe 25'
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 36'
  • goal Charlie Caton 72'
  • yellowcard Declan Weeks 85'
  • yellowcard Kevin Roberts 90'+4'
National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • goal Kennedy Digie 36'
  • goal Kennedy Digie 66'
National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Liam Edwards 23' goal
  • goal Declan Weeks 12'
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Anthony Dudley 90'+4' goal
  • goal Dayle Southwell 39'
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Impact Arena
  • Tom Denton 28' goal
  • Tom Denton 90'+2' goal
  • goal Kurt Willoughby 16'
  • goal Joe Lynch 23'
National League North Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT