Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Chester FC
38.46% ( 0.12)	27.46% ( -0.01)	34.08% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.68% (

0.02)

56.32% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.65% (

0.02)

77.35% (

-0.01)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

0.08)

28.43% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

0.1)

64.18% (

-0.1)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

-0.06)

31.13% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

-0.07)

67.46% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 38.46%

Chester FC 34.07%

Draw 27.46%

Brackley Town	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.46%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 34.07%