Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.