National League North | Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
3 - 1
Oxford City

Peers (13', 39', 85')
Hunter (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jones (52')
Jones (67'), Drewe (69'), Ashby (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League North

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawOxford City
54.13% (-1.831 -1.83)24.87% (0.407 0.41)20.99% (1.424 1.42)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.88 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.091999999999999 0.09)53.96% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.078999999999997 0.08)75.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (-0.679 -0.68)19.9% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.97% (-1.11 -1.11)52.02% (1.11 1.11)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42% (1.588 1.59)40.58% (-1.588 -1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.82% (1.405 1.41)77.18% (-1.404 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 54.12%
    Oxford City 21%
    Draw 24.86%
Chester FCDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-0 @ 10.52% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.396 -0.4)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.213 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 54.12%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 5.3% (0.319 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.263 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 21%