Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Brackley Town
29.62% ( -0.06)	28.61% ( -0)	41.77% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 44.71% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.57% (

-0)

61.43% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.68%

81.31% (

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-0.05)

37.01% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

-0.05)

73.8% (

0.05)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

0.04)

29.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

0.05)

64.91% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 29.62%

Brackley Town 41.77%

Draw 28.59%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Brackley Town
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 29.62%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 41.77%