National League North | Gameweek 26

Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 4
Chester

Fitzhugh (18'), Brennan (28' pen.)
Ravenhill (37'), Elliott (60'), Burton (83'), Kirby (85')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Caton (20', 39' pen.), Burke (41'), Bainbridge (58')
Storer (26'), Roberts (44'), Burke (63')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Buxton 3-2 Alfreton
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Chester FC

All competitions

Last Game: Chester 0-0 Southport
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Chester FC
33.14% ( -0.23)	27.14% ( 0.1)	39.72% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.76% (

-0.42)

55.24% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.53% (

-0.35)

76.47% (

0.35)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

-0.36)

31.2% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46% (

-0.42)

67.54% (

0.43)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8% (

-0.12)

27.2% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.39% (

-0.16)

62.61% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Buxton 33.14%

Chester FC 39.71%

Draw 27.13%

Buxton	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.14%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.71%