National League North | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Haig Avenue

Southport
1 - 4
Spennymoor

Angus (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (37'), Dolan (75'), Mondal (76'), Rutledge (87')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Spennymoor Town

All competitions

Last Game: Brackley Town 4-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Southport	Draw	Spennymoor Town
40.31% ( 0.32)	28.1% ( 0.09)	31.59% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 46.82% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.84% (

-0.41)

59.16% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.41% (

-0.32)

79.59% (

0.32)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

-0.02)

28.74% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43% (

-0.03)

64.57% (

0.03)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

-0.51)

34.31% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

-0.55)

71.01% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Southport 40.3%

Spennymoor Town 31.58%

Draw 28.1%

Southport	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.3%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 31.58%