National League North Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • 21' goal

Southport vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
Hereford 1 - 1 Southport
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Danny Lloyd

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
Chorley 1 - 0 Oxford City
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Mark Ellis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Southport 41.14% (-0.04)
Draw 27.32% (+0.02)
Chorley 31.53% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.06% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.68% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 56.32% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.65% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 77.35% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 9.9% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.1% (+0.02)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 73.07% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.92% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.25% (+0.05)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 67.13% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.87%
Over 1.5 30.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.44%

Score analysis

Southport 41.15%
Draw 27.32%
Chorley 31.53%
Southport
1-0 @ 11.61% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.32%
Chorley
0-1 @ 9.85% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.19% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.48% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.53%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 21' goal
  • Mike Calveley 38' goal
  • Mark Ellis 51' goal
  • Kole Hall 81' yellowcard
  • Scott Wilson 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Keenan Quansah 18'
  • goal Jamie Proctor 41'
  • yellowcard Jamie Proctor 70'
National League North Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Justin Johnson 54' goal
  • Jack Sampson 77' goal
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 84' goal
National League North Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Josh Hmami 53' redcard
  • goal Jack Sampson 41'
  • goal Jack Hazlehurst 52'
National League North Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Scott Wilson 37' goal
  • goal Chris Doyle 47'
  • goal Connor Woods 52'
National League North Gameweek 8
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Jordan Archer 74' goal
  • Jordan Archer 79' goal
  • goal Jonathan Ustabasi 28'
National League North Gameweek 31
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ollie Shenton 59' goal
  • Ollie Shenton 90'+2' goal
  • goal Jordan Archer 8'