National League North | Gameweek 30

Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
1 - 0
Oxford City

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Chorley 2-2 Scunthorpe
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 0-2 Brackley Town
Wednesday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Oxford City
49.95% ( -2.64)	23.93% ( 0.27)	26.12% ( 2.37)

Both teams to score 56.34% (

1.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.73% (

0.96)

45.26% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.39% (

0.91)

67.6% (

-0.91)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.81% (

-0.64)

18.19% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.81% (

-1.1)

49.19% (

1.1)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

2.48)

31.13% (

-2.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.54% (

2.8)

67.46% (

-2.8)

Score Analysis

Chorley 49.95%

Oxford City 26.12%

Draw 23.93%

Chorley	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.71) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.5% Total : 49.95%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.12%