National League North | Gameweek 21

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
1 - 1
Oxford City

Maskell (1')
Kelly (55'), Flint (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Andrews (41')
Fleet (90+2')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions

Last Game: Darlington 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 4-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Darlington	Draw	Oxford City
48.09% ( 0.19)	25.26% ( 0.08)	26.64% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

-0.51)

50.55% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

-0.46)

72.47% (

0.46)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-0.13)

21.04% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

-0.2)

53.83% (

0.2)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.48% (

-0.49)

33.52% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.84% (

-0.54)

70.16% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Darlington 48.09%

Oxford City 26.64%

Draw 25.26%

Darlington	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.09%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.64%