National League North | Gameweek 21

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 0
Chorley

Ceesay (10')
Hudson (45'), Robinson (58'), Cowley (68'), Ceesay (84'), D'Ath (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (48'), Rice (85')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: Darlington 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Chorley 0-3 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Chorley
42.79% ( 0.27)	26.73% ( -0.22)	30.49% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.43% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.63% (

0.84)

54.37% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25% (

0.7)

75.75% (

-0.69)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83% (

0.52)

25.17% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

0.71)

59.89% (

-0.71)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

0.4)

32.61% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85% (

0.44)

69.15% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 42.79%

Chorley 30.49%

Draw 26.72%

Hereford United	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.79%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.49%