Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Scunthorpe United

Chorley
2 - 2
Scunthorpe

Sampson (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Roberts (45+1'), Whitehall (63')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Scunthorpe United

All competitions
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 2-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawScunthorpe United
31.2% (-0.154 -0.15)26.41% (-0.055 -0.05)42.39% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13% (0.16699999999999 0.17)52.87% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (0.143 0.14)74.48% (-0.143 -0.14)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.020999999999987 -0.02)31.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.69% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (0.18100000000001 0.18)24.69% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (0.253 0.25)59.23% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 31.2%
    Scunthorpe United 42.38%
    Draw 26.4%
ChorleyDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.57% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.09% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.38%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Scunthorpe
1-1
Chorley
Whitehall (44')
Boyce (20'), Nicholson (76'), Scales (90+3')
Hall (85')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Scunthorpe
3-0
Chorley
Whitehall (25' pen., 63'), Smith (52')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Chorley
1-1
Scunthorpe
Johnson (47')
Elliott (43')
Evans (69')