National League North | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 1
Southport

Ceesay (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lloyd (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Hereford
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Chester 0-0 Southport
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Southport had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawSouthport
55.55% (-0.405 -0.41)24.62% (0.056999999999999 0.06)19.84% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 46.69% (0.365 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.7% (0.206 0.21)54.3% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31% (0.172 0.17)75.69% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.47% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.67% (-0.128 -0.13)51.33% (0.132 0.13)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98% (0.51 0.51)42.02% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55% (0.441 0.44)78.45% (-0.437 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 55.54%
    Southport 19.84%
    Draw 24.61%
Hereford UnitedDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 13.38% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.54%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.84%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Southport
1-4
Hereford
Lloyd (26')
Philliskirk (90+1')
Hudson (23'), Babos (77', 89'), Williams (90+3')
D'Ath (72')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Southport
1-2
Hereford
Carver (90+2')
Lloyd (60')
Downing (43'), Phillips (90')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Hereford
0-1
Southport
Carver (57')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Southport
0-1
Hereford
Holmes (50')
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Hereford
2-0
Southport
Barnett (79' pen.), Jarvis (90+4')