National League North | Gameweek 11

Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 0
Scarborough Ath

White (25')
Cowley (69'), Preston (69'), Hudson (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thornton (43'), Tear (65'), Maloney (76')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Chorley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-2 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
46.54% ( 0.78)	26.67% ( -0.02)	26.78% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 48.4% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.06% (

-0.38)

55.94% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.96% (

-0.31)

77.04% (

0.31)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

0.21)

24.01% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73% (

0.3)

58.27% (

-0.3)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

-0.83)

36.3% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91% (

-0.85)

73.09% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 46.54%

Scarborough Athletic 26.78%

Draw 26.67%

Hereford United	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.54%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.78%