National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
2 - 0
Southport

Hemmings (10'), Brown (59')
Reynolds (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lloyd (39'), Proctor (45+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Radcliffe 0-4 Kidderminster
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Needham Market
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Southport had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.97%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawSouthport
67.16% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)21.58% (0.02 0.02)11.26% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 36.98% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.96% (0.19900000000001 0.2)57.04% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (0.159 0.16)77.92% (-0.16 -0.16)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)45.85% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.18% (0.365 0.37)55.82% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.63% (0.212 0.21)88.37% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 67.15%
    Southport 11.26%
    Draw 21.58%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 16.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 14.97% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 9.06% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 67.15%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.54% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.58%
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 11.26%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Southport
1-3
Kidderminster
Oliver (59' pen.)
Hemmings (1', 77'), Morgan-Smith (70')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Kidderminster
0-2
Southport
Watson (27'), Carver (62')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Kidderminster
6-0
Southport
Hemmings (17', 68'), Sterling-James (30'), Morgan-Smith (77'), Freemantle (87'), Moyo (90+5')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Southport
1-1
Kidderminster
Carver (71' pen.)
Hemmings (7' pen.)
May 29, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0


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